Seattle Mariners Net Runs for 4-20-2010 (Seattle 3, Baltimore 1)

Team	Player	Net Runs	Hit	Pitch	Def	Base
BAL	David Hernandez	-4.318	0.000	-4.318	0.000	0.000
BAL	Matt Wieters	0.252	0.359	0.000	-0.107	0.000
BAL	Garrett Atkins	-0.870	-1.015	0.000	0.145	0.000
BAL	Julio Lugo	0.272	-0.464	0.000	0.736	0.000
BAL	Ty Wigginton	2.013	0.503	0.000	1.510	0.000
BAL	Cesar Izturis	0.059	-0.710	0.000	0.769	0.000
BAL	Luke Scott	-1.586	-0.986	0.000	-0.600	0.000
BAL	Adam Jones	-0.146	-0.812	0.000	0.666	0.000
BAL	Nick Markakis	1.218	-0.923	0.000	2.141	0.000
BAL	Nolan Reimold	0.286	0.286	0.000	0.000	0.000
BAL	BAL Luckbox	0.217	0.217	0.000	0.000	0.000
BAL	Dave Trembley	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
BAL	Will Ohman	0.449	0.000	0.449	0.000	0.000
BAL	Matt Albers	0.003	0.000	-0.142	0.145	0.000

Team	Player	Net Runs	Hit	Pitch	Def	Base
SEA	Jason Vargas	0.791	0.000	0.791	0.000	0.000
SEA	Adam Moore	-0.074	-0.074	0.000	0.000	0.000
SEA	Casey Kotchman	-1.244	-1.244	0.000	0.000	0.000
SEA	Chone Figgins	-0.458	-0.293	0.000	0.469	-0.634
SEA	Jose Lopez	-0.738	-0.475	0.000	0.171	-0.434
SEA	Jack Wilson	1.064	0.662	0.000	0.402	0.000
SEA	Milton Bradley	1.000	1.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
SEA	Franklin Gutierrez	1.723	-0.243	0.000	1.966	0.000
SEA	Ichiro Suzuki	0.497	0.125	0.000	0.265	0.107
SEA	Ken Griffey Jr	0.237	0.237	0.000	0.000	0.000
SEA	SEA Luckbox	0.829	0.829	0.000	0.000	0.000
SEA	Don Wakamatsu	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
SEA	Eric Byrnes	-0.581	-0.603	0.000	0.022	0.000
SEA	Mark Lowe	-0.183	0.000	-0.183	0.000	0.000
SEA	David Aardsma	0.235	0.000	0.235	0.000	0.000

Expected ERAs based on today's performances:

David Hernandez: 9.90
Will Ohman: 0.00
Matt Albers: 5.40

Jason Vargas: 3.27
Mark Lowe: 5.74
David Aardsma: 2.25

Player of the Game: Franklin Gutierrez (1.723 NRuns: -0.243 hitting, 1.966 fielding)
Rest of defense: 1.329 NRuns
Mariners Baserunning: -0.961 NRuns
Sometimes he can hit too: Jack Wilson (1.064 NRuns: 0.662 hitting, 0.402 fielding)
This all came with one swing of the bat: Milton Bradley (1.000 NRuns, all hitting)

Goat: David Hernandez (-4.318 NRuns)
Way better than yesterday: Ty Wigginton (2.013 NRuns: 0.503 hitting, 1.510 fielding)

Not quite a Bonderman, but pretty bad, was David Hernandez's performance. Though he did manage 6 1/3 innings, he had a lot of luck (some of which was the Mariners innovative ability to make outs) and defense to help him overcome a slew of line drives (he had five in the final 2.1 innings alone). David Hernandez has some good stuff. And as of right now, just like last year, he's not a very good pitcher. If he pitched another day like he pitched today, he probably doesn't get out of the 4th inning. It's too bad he has to learn in the bigs on a bad team, but he's got a lot of learning to do if he's going to harness his talent and become a good pitcher.

On the flip side, Jason Vargas is making a strong case to stay in the rotation not just when Cliff Lee returns at the end of the month, but also when Erik Bedard returns in a month or two. While Doug Fister has tiptoed to some fine performances, a look at his BIP stats shows that he's more beatable than meets the eye. The surprising candidate to get the bump to the pen (or Tacoma) is Ian Snell, only surprising because at season's start he wasn't more than a dark horse candidate to get voted off rotation island, but has done some work towards pitching himself off the rotation. Vargas has pitched well, and Fister has managed some nice looking performances. Snell hasn't done much of either, and while he's had some extenuating circumstances around his first few starts (illness and a death in the family), his performance has left a lot to be desired and at this point he's the top candidate to get bumped when Cliff Lee returns.