Showing posts with label Justin Verlander. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Justin Verlander. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Seattle Mariners Net Runs for 5-25-2010 (Seattle 5, Detroit 3)

TeamPlayerNet RunsHitPitchDefBaseEXERAPitOuts
DETJustin Verlander0.6850.0000.5350.1500.0003.6022
DETAlex Avila-0.672-0.6720.0000.0000.0000.000
DETDon Kelly-0.685-0.8300.0000.1450.0000.000
DETDanny Worth0.7640.6140.0000.1500.0000.000
DETBrandon Inge0.9311.1050.0000.307-0.4810.000
DETRamon Santiago-1.093-0.8810.000-0.2120.0000.000
DETBrennan Boesch0.193-0.8170.0001.0100.0000.000
DETAustin Jackson0.7190.4650.0000.2540.0000.000
DETMagglio Ordonez-0.1000.3180.000-0.4180.0000.000
DETJohnny Damon-1.170-1.1700.0000.0000.0000.000
DETRyan Raburn-0.169-0.1690.0000.0000.0000.000
DETJoel Zumaya-0.0960.000-0.0960.0000.0005.412
DETDET Luckbox0.9730.9730.0000.0000.0000.000
DETJim Leyland0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000


TeamPlayerNet RunsHitPitchDefBaseEXERAPitOuts
SEADoug Fister1.1770.0001.1010.0760.0002.9021
SEAJosh Bard-0.505-0.5050.0000.0000.0000.000
SEACasey Kotchman-1.784-0.8410.000-0.9430.0000.000
SEAChone Figgins1.1860.2600.0000.9260.0000.000
SEAJose Lopez-1.099-0.1900.000-0.9090.0000.000
SEAJosh Wilson-0.876-0.1810.000-0.6950.0000.000
SEAMichael Saunders0.841-0.5910.0001.4320.0000.000
SEAFranklin Gutierrez2.0231.1070.0000.9160.0000.000
SEAIchiro Suzuki-0.309-0.8120.0000.5030.0000.000
SEAMilton Bradley2.7132.7130.0000.0000.0000.000
SEAShawn Kelley-0.1980.000-0.1980.0000.0005.873
SEADavid Aardsma0.2880.0000.2880.0000.0001.813
SEASEA Luckbox0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
SEADon Wakamatsu0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
 Safeco Field3.7370.0000.000-3.7370.0000.000


Player of the Game: Milton Bradley (2.713 hitting NRuns)

Pretty good:
Franklin Gutierrez (2.023 NRuns: 1.107 hitting, 0.916 fielding)
Chone Figgins (1.186 NRuns: 0.260 hitting, 0.926 fielding)

Pitcher's duel:
Justin Verlander (0.535 pitching NRuns, 3.60 EXERA)
Doug Fister (1.101 pitching NRuns, 2.90 EXERA)

Mariners defense: 1.306 NRuns

Is there really a goat on a winning team? Casey Kotchman (-1.784 NRuns: -0.841 hitting, -0.943 fielding)

******

Funny that the Mariners score some runs in what turns out to be a pitchers duel, as Doug Fister matched fireballer Justin Verlander step for step until Verlander faltered in the 8th. Also go figure that in two of his lesser starts stat-wise, Fister puts up his best two performances of the season, as his defense lets him down a bit but he pitches better than he has all season, with very few mistakes. Believe it or not, he's getting better even as his line scores fall back to Earth.

Milton Bradley needed a good game at the plate badly to get back on track after his return from his self-imposed exile. Two big Milton Bradley hits keyed the Mariners fortunes at the plate today, one putting the M's on the board with a two run blast and the other putting the Mariners ahead for good with an RBI single. Good thing he and Franklin Gutierrez produced at the plate, because as usual the rest of the Mariners weren't (Chone Figgins' double offset several unproductive plate appearances for him)... though to be fair Justin Verlander is a fairly tough hurler.

The Mariners best not get too confident about today's win, as it was sparked mainly by two players, by Detroit running out their B team (Miggy Cabrera is out for the series due to family issues and several other spots are being manned by backups and youngsters) and by Doug Fister pitching very well. Their infield defense did not have a good game and will need to look better tomorrow with Jason Vargas on the hill and beyond. Ditto for their offense, as the two big days masked the fact that the rest of the lineup didn't do much.

Saturday, April 17, 2010

Seattle Mariners Net Runs for 4-17-2010 (Seattle 4, Detroit 2)

TeamPlayerNet RunsHitPitchDefBase
DETJustin Verlander -0.1410.000-0.7570.6160.000
DETGerald Laird -0.3380.0270.000-0.3650.000
DETMiguel Cabrera -0.565-0.8620.0000.2970.000
DETScott Sizemore -0.0770.4040.0000.000-0.481
DETBrandon Inge 0.037-0.0440.0000.0810.000
DETAdam Everett -0.4310.0500.000-0.4810.000
DETCarlos Guillen 0.457-0.0230.0000.4800.000
DETAustin Jackson 0.854-0.7290.0001.5830.000
DETRyan Raburn -2.334-1.4650.000-0.8690.000
DETMagglio OrdoƱez 0.4270.4270.0000.0000.000
DETDET Luckbox0.1070.1070.0000.0000.000
DETJim Leyland-0.165-0.1650.0000.0000.000
DETAlex Avila -0.238-0.2380.0000.0000.000
DETJohnny Damon 0.6160.6160.0000.0000.000
DETRamon Santiago -0.311-0.1690.000-0.1420.000
DETPhil Coke -0.3240.000-0.3240.0000.000
DETJoel Zumaya -0.0790.000-0.1060.0270.000


TeamPlayerNet RunsHittingPitchingDefenseBase
SEARyan Rowland-Smith -1.4090.000-1.4090.0000.000
SEAAdam Moore -0.683-0.5760.000-0.1070.000
SEACasey Kotchman -0.1500.6640.0000.000-0.814
SEAChone Figgins -0.738-1.5280.0000.6260.164
SEAJose Lopez 0.629-0.1420.0000.7710.000
SEAJack Wilson 0.077-0.1480.0000.442-0.217
SEAMilton Bradley 2.656-0.2330.0002.7300.159
SEAFranklin Gutierrez 1.5111.0720.0000.2210.218
SEAIchiro Suzuki 3.7731.9470.0001.5670.259
SEAKen Griffey Jr-1.262-1.2620.0000.0000.000
SEASEA Luckbox0.5890.4240.1650.0000.000
SEADon Wakamatsu0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
SEABrandon League -0.4170.000-0.4170.0000.000
SEAMark Lowe -0.7680.000-0.7680.0000.000
SEADavid Aardsma -0.3240.000-0.3240.0000.000


Expected ERAs for today's pitching performances:

Justin Verlander - 5.12
Phil Coke - 12.32
Joel Zumaya - 5.54

Ryan Rowland-Smith - 6.17
Brandon League - 7.69
Mark Lowe - 10.62
David Aardsma - 6.92

Player of the Game: Ichiro! (3.773 NRuns: 1.947 batting, 1.567 fielding, 0.259 baserunning)

Honorable Mention: Milton Bradley (2.656 NRuns: -0.233 batting, 2.730 fielding, 0.159 baserunning)

Designated What?: Ken Griffey Jr. (-1.262 NRuns, all batting)

Goat: Ryan Raburn (-2.334 NRuns: -1.465 batting, -0.869 fielding)

Verlander looked like he was going to dominate after a 1st inning in which he saved the Tigers a full run. But a few innings and line drives later, he finished his 7th and final inning with a pedestrian -0.141 NRuns. He began that 7th and final inning by allowing a killer leadoff walk (0.417 NRuns). That baserunner, Milton Bradley, eventually came around to score on Casey Kotchman's RBI double.

Run Expectancy and Net Runs have shown me that, like any outcome, not all walks are created equal. There are three rules I've found to be true with walks (aside from obviously never issuing a walk with the bases loaded):

1. Do not walk the leadoff batter. (0.417 NRuns)

2. Do not walk a guy with two men on, regardless of what bases they occupy. (Average damage: 0.600 NRuns)

3. If you must walk a guy, the best time to issue a walk is with two outs and 1st base empty. (Average: 0.120 NRuns)

A crazy day in baseball today and a streamlined scoring process means I've got bonus material for today. Check back!

Issue a walk any other time